(2)方法一:第一次取到一件不合格品,还剩下99件产品,其中有4件不合格品,95件合格品,于是第二次又取到不合格品的概率为4/99,由于这是一个条件概率,所以P(B|A)=4/99.方法二:根据条件概率的定义,先求出事件A,B同时发生的概率P(AB)=(C_5^2)/(C_100^2 )=1/495,所以P(B|A)=(P"(" AB")" )/(P"(" A")" )=(1/495)/(5/100)=4/99.6.在某次考试中,要从20道题中随机地抽出6道题,若考生至少答对其中的4道题即可通过;若至少答对其中5道题就获得优秀.已知某考生能答对其中10道题,并且知道他在这次考试中已经通过,求他获得优秀成绩的概率.解:设事件A为“该考生6道题全答对”,事件B为“该考生答对了其中5道题而另一道答错”,事件C为“该考生答对了其中4道题而另2道题答错”,事件D为“该考生在这次考试中通过”,事件E为“该考生在这次考试中获得优秀”,则A,B,C两两互斥,且D=A∪B∪C,E=A∪B,由古典概型的概率公式及加法公式可知P(D)=P(A∪B∪C)=P(A)+P(B)+P(C)=(C_10^6)/(C_20^6 )+(C_10^5 C_10^1)/(C_20^6 )+(C_10^4 C_10^2)/(C_20^6 )=(12" " 180)/(C_20^6 ),P(E|D)=P(A∪B|D)=P(A|D)+P(B|D)=(P"(" A")" )/(P"(" D")" )+(P"(" B")" )/(P"(" D")" )=(210/(C_20^6 ))/((12" " 180)/(C_20^6 ))+((2" " 520)/(C_20^6 ))/((12" " 180)/(C_20^6 ))=13/58,即所求概率为13/58.
3.某县农民月均收入服从N(500,202)的正态分布,则此县农民月均收入在500元到520元间人数的百分比约为 . 解析:因为月收入服从正态分布N(500,202),所以μ=500,σ=20,μ-σ=480,μ+σ=520.所以月均收入在[480,520]范围内的概率为0.683.由图像的对称性可知,此县农民月均收入在500到520元间人数的百分比约为34.15%.答案:34.15%4.某种零件的尺寸ξ(单位:cm)服从正态分布N(3,12),则不属于区间[1,5]这个尺寸范围的零件数约占总数的 . 解析:零件尺寸属于区间[μ-2σ,μ+2σ],即零件尺寸在[1,5]内取值的概率约为95.4%,故零件尺寸不属于区间[1,5]内的概率为1-95.4%=4.6%.答案:4.6%5. 设在一次数学考试中,某班学生的分数X~N(110,202),且知试卷满分150分,这个班的学生共54人,求这个班在这次数学考试中及格(即90分及90分以上)的人数和130分以上的人数.解:μ=110,σ=20,P(X≥90)=P(X-110≥-20)=P(X-μ≥-σ),∵P(X-μσ)≈2P(X-μ130)=P(X-110>20)=P(X-μ>σ),∴P(X-μσ)≈0.683+2P(X-μ>σ)=1,∴P(X-μ>σ)=0.158 5,即P(X>130)=0.158 5.∴54×0.158 5≈9(人),即130分以上的人数约为9人.
解析:因为减法和除法运算中交换两个数的位置对计算结果有影响,所以属于组合的有2个.答案:B2.若A_n^2=3C_(n"-" 1)^2,则n的值为( )A.4 B.5 C.6 D.7 解析:因为A_n^2=3C_(n"-" 1)^2,所以n(n-1)=(3"(" n"-" 1")(" n"-" 2")" )/2,解得n=6.故选C.答案:C 3.若集合A={a1,a2,a3,a4,a5},则集合A的子集中含有4个元素的子集共有 个. 解析:满足要求的子集中含有4个元素,由集合中元素的无序性,知其子集个数为C_5^4=5.答案:54.平面内有12个点,其中有4个点共线,此外再无任何3点共线,以这些点为顶点,可得多少个不同的三角形?解:(方法一)我们把从共线的4个点中取点的多少作为分类的标准:第1类,共线的4个点中有2个点作为三角形的顶点,共有C_4^2·C_8^1=48(个)不同的三角形;第2类,共线的4个点中有1个点作为三角形的顶点,共有C_4^1·C_8^2=112(个)不同的三角形;第3类,共线的4个点中没有点作为三角形的顶点,共有C_8^3=56(个)不同的三角形.由分类加法计数原理,不同的三角形共有48+112+56=216(个).(方法二 间接法)C_12^3-C_4^3=220-4=216(个).
4.有8种不同的菜种,任选4种种在不同土质的4块地里,有 种不同的种法. 解析:将4块不同土质的地看作4个不同的位置,从8种不同的菜种中任选4种种在4块不同土质的地里,则本题即为从8个不同元素中任选4个元素的排列问题,所以不同的种法共有A_8^4 =8×7×6×5=1 680(种).答案:1 6805.用1、2、3、4、5、6、7这7个数字组成没有重复数字的四位数.(1)这些四位数中偶数有多少个?能被5整除的有多少个?(2)这些四位数中大于6 500的有多少个?解:(1)偶数的个位数只能是2、4、6,有A_3^1种排法,其他位上有A_6^3种排法,由分步乘法计数原理,知共有四位偶数A_3^1·A_6^3=360(个);能被5整除的数个位必须是5,故有A_6^3=120(个).(2)最高位上是7时大于6 500,有A_6^3种,最高位上是6时,百位上只能是7或5,故有2×A_5^2种.由分类加法计数原理知,这些四位数中大于6 500的共有A_6^3+2×A_5^2=160(个).
二项式定理形式上的特点(1)二项展开式有n+1项,而不是n项.(2)二项式系数都是C_n^k(k=0,1,2,…,n),它与二项展开式中某一项的系数不一定相等.(3)二项展开式中的二项式系数的和等于2n,即C_n^0+C_n^1+C_n^2+…+C_n^n=2n.(4)在排列方式上,按照字母a的降幂排列,从第一项起,次数由n次逐项减少1次直到0次,同时字母b按升幂排列,次数由0次逐项增加1次直到n次.1.判断(正确的打“√”,错误的打“×”)(1)(a+b)n展开式中共有n项. ( )(2)在公式中,交换a,b的顺序对各项没有影响. ( )(3)Cknan-kbk是(a+b)n展开式中的第k项. ( )(4)(a-b)n与(a+b)n的二项式展开式的二项式系数相同. ( )[解析] (1)× 因为(a+b)n展开式中共有n+1项.(2)× 因为二项式的第k+1项Cknan-kbk和(b+a)n的展开式的第k+1项Cknbn-kak是不同的,其中的a,b是不能随便交换的.(3)× 因为Cknan-kbk是(a+b)n展开式中的第k+1项.(4)√ 因为(a-b)n与(a+b)n的二项式展开式的二项式系数都是Crn.[答案] (1)× (2)× (3)× (4)√
【词汇精讲】highlight n.最好或最精彩的部分 vt.突出;强调;使醒目One of the highlights of the trip was seeing the Taj Mahal.这次旅行的亮点之一是参观泰姬陵。Your resume should highlight your skills and achievements.你的简历应该突出你的技能和成就。The report highlights the major problems facing society today.报告强调了当今社会所面临的主要问题。I’ve highlighted the important passages in yellow.我用黄色标出了重要段落。7.Edmonton is freezing cold in winter,with daily temperatures averaging -10 ℃.埃德蒙顿冬季寒冷,日平均气温为-10°C。【词汇精讲】freezing adj.极冷的;冰冻的Leave a basin of water outside in freezing weather.在冰冻的天气里,放一盆水在室外。It’s freezing cold outside so wear a warm coat.外面超冷的,所以穿一个暖和一点的外套吧。8.It was not until 9:30 a.m.that they finally reached the capital of Ontario,Toronto.直到上午9时30分,他们才终于到达多伦多的首府安大略省。【句式剖析】本句是一个强调句,强调的是句子的时间状语until 9:30。含有not...until...的句子的强调句为It is not until...that...,that后面的句子要用肯定形式。It was not until then that I suddenly realized nobody was happier than I was.直到那时我才突然意识到没有人比我更幸福了。
你校英语报计划出版一期急救常识专刊,现面向全校学生公开征集稿件,你有意参加。请你根据下面提示内容,用英语写一篇短文,介绍在车祸现场对伤者进行急救的方法和步骤。1.确保现场的安全;2.询问伤者,确保其呼吸正常;3.检查伤口,如流血则应采取止血措施;4.如需急救,确保其处于康复位置。注意:1.词数80左右;2.可以适当增加细节,以使行文连贯。参考词汇:康复位置 recovery positionAs we all know, having a knowledge of first aid can make a great difference in our daily life. If a traffic accident happens and someone is injured, the following steps can be used to treat the injured.In the first place, we should make sure that the accident scene is safe so that we won’t get hurt. We should ask the injured person if he is OK, and see if he is breathing. What’s more, we should check for cuts and wounds. If he is bleeding badly, it is vital that we should try to stop the bleeding by applying pressure to the injury. This is because if a person loses too much blood, he may die. If necessary, take the injured person to the hospital as soon as possible.Do remember: when giving first aid, please be sure to place the person in a recovery position.
This section guides students to pay attention to the typical context of vocabulary use, helps students accumulate vocabulary around the key vocabulary of this unit, and uses the learned words and word chunks in different contexts to deeply understand their meaning and usage, so as to achieve the purpose of review and consolidation.The teaching design activities aim to guide students to pay attention to the typical context in which the target vocabulary is used, as well as the common vocabulary used in collocation, so that students can complete the sentence with correct words. In terms of vocabulary learning strategies, this unit focuses on cultivating students' ability to pay attention to collocation of words and to use word blocks to express meaning.For vocabulary learning, it is not enough just to know the meaning of a single word, but the most important thing is to master the common collocations of words, namely word blocks.Teachers should timely guide students to summarize common vocabulary collocation, such as verb and noun collocation, verb and preposition collocation, preposition and noun collocation, and so on.1. Guide students to understand and consolidate the meaning and usage of the vocabulary in the context, 2. Guide the students to use the unit topic vocabulary in a richer context3. Let the students sort out and accumulate the accumulated vocabulary, establishes the semantic connection between the vocabulary,4. Enable students to understand and master the vocabulary more effectivelyGuiding the Ss to use unit topic words and the sentence patterns in a richer context.
假定你是英国的Jack,打算来中国旅行,请你给你的中国笔友李华写一封信,要点如下:1.你的旅行计划:北京→泰山→杭州;2.征求建议并询问他是否愿意充当你的导游。注意:1.词数80左右(开头和结尾已给出,不计入总词数);2.可以适当增加细节,以使行文连贯。参考词汇:故宫 the Forbidden City;泰山 Mount TaiDear Li Hua,I'm glad to tell you that 'm going to visit China.First,I am planning to visit Beijing,the capitalof China,where I am looking forward to enjoying the Great Wall,the Forbidden City and somebeautiful parks.Then I intend to go to visit Mount Tai in Shandong Province.I've heard that it is one ofthe most famous mountains in China and I can't wait to enjoy the amazing sunrise there.After that,I amalso going to Hangzhou.It is said that it is a beautiful modern city with breathtaking natural sights,among which the West Lake is a well- known tourist attraction.What do you think of my travel plan? Will you act as my guide? Hope to hear from you soon.
The theme of the listening section is " talking about scenery and culture along a journey."The part is designed to further lead the students to understand Canadian natural geography and social environment, and integrated into the cultural contrast by mentioning the long train journey from Beijing to Moscow routes. On this basis, the part activates students related travel experience, lets the student serial dialogue, guides the student to explore further the pleasure and meaning of the long journey, and Chinese and foreign cultural comparison.The part also provides a framework for the continuation of the dialogue, which is designed to provide a framework for students to successfully complete their oral expressions, and to incorporate an important trading strategy to end the dialogue naturally.1. Help students to understand and master some common English idioms in the context, and experience the expression effect of English idioms.2. Guide the students to understand the identity of different people in the listening context, and finish the dialogue according to their own experience.3. Instruct the students to use appropriate language to express surprise and curiosity about space and place in the dialogue, and master the oral strategy of ending the dialogue naturally.1. Instruct students to grasp the key information and important details of the dialogue.2. Instruct students to conduct a similar talk on the relevant topic.
The purpose of this section of vocabulary exercises is to consolidate the key words in the first part of the reading text, let the students write the words according to the English definition, and focus on the detection of the meaning and spelling of the new words. The teaching design includes use English definition to explain words, which is conducive to improving students' interest in vocabulary learning, cultivating their sense of English language and thinking in English, and making students willing to use this method to better grasp the meaning of words, expand their vocabulary, and improve their ability of vocabulary application. Besides, the design offers more context including sentences and short passage for students to practice words flexibly.1. Guide students to understand and consolidate the meaning and usage of the vocabulary in the context, 2. Guide the students to use the unit topic vocabulary in a richer context3. Let the students sort out and accumulate the accumulated vocabulary, establishes the semantic connection between the vocabulary,4. Enable students to understand and master the vocabulary more effectivelyGuiding the Ss to use unit topic words and the sentence patterns in a richer context.Step1: Read the passage about chemical burns and fill in the blanks with the correct forms of the words in the box.
The theme of this activity is to learn the first aid knowledge of burns. Burns is common in life, but there are some misunderstandings in manual treatment. This activity provides students with correct first aid methods, so as not to take them for granted in an emergency. This section guides students to analyze the causes of scald and help students avoid such things. From the perspective of text structure and collaborative features, the text is expository. Expository, with explanation as the main way of expression, transmits knowledge and information to readers by analyzing concepts and elaborating examples. This text arranges the information in logical order, clearly presents three parts of the content through the subtitle, accurately describes the causes, types, characteristics and first aid measures of burns, and some paragraphs use topic sentences to summarize the main idea, and the level is very clear.1. Guide students to understand the causes, types, characteristics and first aid methods of burns, through reading2. Enhance students’ ability to deal withburnss and their awareness of burns prevention3. Enable students to improve the ability to judge the types of texts accurately and to master the characteristics and writing techniques of expository texts.Guide students to understand the causes, types, characteristics and first aid methods of burns, through readingStep1: Lead in by discussing the related topic:1. What first-aid techniques do you know of ?CPR; mouth to mouth artificial respiration; the Heimlich Manoeuvre
The theme of this section is to learn how to make emergency calls. Students should learn how to make emergency calls not only in China, but also in foreign countries in English, so that they can be prepared for future situations outside the home.The emergency telephone number is a vital hotline, which should be the most clear, rapid and effective communication with the acute operator.This section helps students to understand the emergency calls in some countries and the precautions for making emergency calls. Through the study of this section, students can accumulate common expressions and sentence patterns in this context. 1.Help students accumulate emergency telephone numbers in different countries and learn more about first aid2.Guide the students to understand the contents and instructions of the telephone, grasp the characteristics of the emergency telephone and the requirements of the emergency telephone.3.Guide students to understand the first aid instructions of the operators.4.Enable Ss to make simulated emergency calls with their partners in the language they have learned1. Instruct students to grasp the key information and important details of the dialogue.2. Instruct students to conduct a similar talk on the relevant topic.Step1:Look and discuss:Match the pictures below to the medical emergencies, and then discuss the questions in groups.
当A,C颜色相同时,先染P有4种方法,再染A,C有3种方法,然后染B有2种方法,最后染D也有2种方法.根据分步乘法计数原理知,共有4×3×2×2=48(种)方法;当A,C颜色不相同时,先染P有4种方法,再染A有3种方法,然后染C有2种方法,最后染B,D都有1种方法.根据分步乘法计数原理知,共有4×3×2×1×1=24(种)方法.综上,共有48+24=72(种)方法.故选B.答案:B5.某艺术小组有9人,每人至少会钢琴和小号中的一种乐器,其中7人会钢琴,3人会小号,从中选出会钢琴与会小号的各1人,有多少种不同的选法?解:由题意可知,在艺术小组9人中,有且仅有1人既会钢琴又会小号(把该人记为甲),只会钢琴的有6人,只会小号的有2人.把从中选出会钢琴与会小号各1人的方法分为两类.第1类,甲入选,另1人只需从其他8人中任选1人,故这类选法共8种;第2类,甲不入选,则会钢琴的只能从6个只会钢琴的人中选出,有6种不同的选法,会小号的也只能从只会小号的2人中选出,有2种不同的选法,所以这类选法共有6×2=12(种).因此共有8+12=20(种)不同的选法.
The grammar of this unit is designed to review noun clauses. Sentences that use nouns in a sentence are called noun clauses. Nominal clauses can act as subject, object, predicate, appositive and other components in compound sentences. According to the above-mentioned different grammatical functions, nominal clauses are divided into subject clause, object clause, predicate clause and appositive clause. In this unit, we will review the three kinds of nominal clauses. Appositive clauses are not required to be mastered in the optional compulsory stage, so they are not involved.1. Guide the students to judge the compound sentences and determine the composition of the clauses in the sentence.2. Instruct students to try to learn grammar by generalizing grammar rules, controlling written practice, and semi-open oral output.3. Inspire the students to systematize the function and usage of noun clause1.Instruct students to try to learn grammar by generalizing grammar rules, controlling written practice, and semi-open oral output.2.Inspire the students to systematize the function and usage of noun clauseStep1: The teacher ask studetns to find out more nominal clauses from the reading passage and udnerline the nominal clauses.
4.写出下列随机变量可能取的值,并说明随机变量所取的值表示的随机试验的结果.(1)一个袋中装有8个红球,3个白球,从中任取5个球,其中所含白球的个数为X.(2)一个袋中有5个同样大小的黑球,编号为1,2,3,4,5,从中任取3个球,取出的球的最大号码记为X.(3). 在本例(1)条件下,规定取出一个红球赢2元,而每取出一个白球输1元,以ξ表示赢得的钱数,结果如何?[解] (1)X可取0,1,2,3.X=0表示取5个球全是红球;X=1表示取1个白球,4个红球;X=2表示取2个白球,3个红球;X=3表示取3个白球,2个红球.(2)X可取3,4,5.X=3表示取出的球编号为1,2,3;X=4表示取出的球编号为1,2,4;1,3,4或2,3,4.X=5表示取出的球编号为1,2,5;1,3,5;1,4,5;2,3,5;2,4,5或3,4,5.(3) ξ=10表示取5个球全是红球;ξ=7表示取1个白球,4个红球;ξ=4表示取2个白球,3个红球;ξ=1表示取3个白球,2个红球.
一、 问题导学前面两节所讨论的变量,如人的身高、树的胸径、树的高度、短跑100m世界纪录和创纪录的时间等,都是数值变量,数值变量的取值为实数.其大小和运算都有实际含义.在现实生活中,人们经常需要回答一定范围内的两种现象或性质之间是否存在关联性或相互影响的问题.例如,就读不同学校是否对学生的成绩有影响,不同班级学生用于体育锻炼的时间是否有差别,吸烟是否会增加患肺癌的风险,等等,本节将要学习的独立性检验方法为我们提供了解决这类问题的方案。在讨论上述问题时,为了表述方便,我们经常会使用一种特殊的随机变量,以区别不同的现象或性质,这类随机变量称为分类变量.分类变量的取值可以用实数表示,例如,学生所在的班级可以用1,2,3等表示,男性、女性可以用1,0表示,等等.在很多时候,这些数值只作为编号使用,并没有通常的大小和运算意义,本节我们主要讨论取值于{0,1}的分类变量的关联性问题.
1.确定研究对象,明确哪个是解释变量,哪个是响应变量;2.由经验确定非线性经验回归方程的模型;3.通过变换,将非线性经验回归模型转化为线性经验回归模型;4.按照公式计算经验回归方程中的参数,得到经验回归方程;5.消去新元,得到非线性经验回归方程;6.得出结果后分析残差图是否有异常 .跟踪训练1.一只药用昆虫的产卵数y与一定范围内的温度x有关,现收集了6组观测数据列于表中: 经计算得: 线性回归残差的平方和: ∑_(i=1)^6?〖(y_i-(y_i ) ?)〗^2=236,64,e^8.0605≈3167.其中 分别为观测数据中的温度和产卵数,i=1,2,3,4,5,6.(1)若用线性回归模型拟合,求y关于x的回归方程 (精确到0.1);(2)若用非线性回归模型拟合,求得y关于x回归方程为 且相关指数R2=0.9522. ①试与(1)中的线性回归模型相比较,用R2说明哪种模型的拟合效果更好 ?②用拟合效果好的模型预测温度为35℃时该种药用昆虫的产卵数.(结果取整数).
由样本相关系数??≈0.97,可以推断脂肪含量和年龄这两个变量正线性相关,且相关程度很强。脂肪含量与年龄变化趋势相同.归纳总结1.线性相关系数是从数值上来判断变量间的线性相关程度,是定量的方法.与散点图相比较,线性相关系数要精细得多,需要注意的是线性相关系数r的绝对值小,只是说明线性相关程度低,但不一定不相关,可能是非线性相关.2.利用相关系数r来检验线性相关显著性水平时,通常与0.75作比较,若|r|>0.75,则线性相关较为显著,否则不显著.例2. 有人收集了某城市居民年收入(所有居民在一年内收入的总和)与A商品销售额的10年数据,如表所示.画出散点图,判断成对样本数据是否线性相关,并通过样本相关系数推断居民年收入与A商品销售额的相关程度和变化趋势的异同.
3.下结论.依据均值和方差做出结论.跟踪训练2. A、B两个投资项目的利润率分别为随机变量X1和X2,根据市场分析, X1和X2的分布列分别为X1 2% 8% 12% X2 5% 10%P 0.2 0.5 0.3 P 0.8 0.2求:(1)在A、B两个项目上各投资100万元, Y1和Y2分别表示投资项目A和B所获得的利润,求方差D(Y1)和D(Y2);(2)根据得到的结论,对于投资者有什么建议? 解:(1)题目可知,投资项目A和B所获得的利润Y1和Y2的分布列为:Y1 2 8 12 Y2 5 10P 0.2 0.5 0.3 P 0.8 0.2所以 ;; 解:(2) 由(1)可知 ,说明投资A项目比投资B项目期望收益要高;同时 ,说明投资A项目比投资B项目的实际收益相对于期望收益的平均波动要更大.因此,对于追求稳定的投资者,投资B项目更合适;而对于更看重利润并且愿意为了高利润承担风险的投资者,投资A项目更合适.
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