
由样本相关系数??≈0.97,可以推断脂肪含量和年龄这两个变量正线性相关,且相关程度很强。脂肪含量与年龄变化趋势相同.归纳总结1.线性相关系数是从数值上来判断变量间的线性相关程度,是定量的方法.与散点图相比较,线性相关系数要精细得多,需要注意的是线性相关系数r的绝对值小,只是说明线性相关程度低,但不一定不相关,可能是非线性相关.2.利用相关系数r来检验线性相关显著性水平时,通常与0.75作比较,若|r|>0.75,则线性相关较为显著,否则不显著.例2. 有人收集了某城市居民年收入(所有居民在一年内收入的总和)与A商品销售额的10年数据,如表所示.画出散点图,判断成对样本数据是否线性相关,并通过样本相关系数推断居民年收入与A商品销售额的相关程度和变化趋势的异同.

4.写出下列随机变量可能取的值,并说明随机变量所取的值表示的随机试验的结果.(1)一个袋中装有8个红球,3个白球,从中任取5个球,其中所含白球的个数为X.(2)一个袋中有5个同样大小的黑球,编号为1,2,3,4,5,从中任取3个球,取出的球的最大号码记为X.(3). 在本例(1)条件下,规定取出一个红球赢2元,而每取出一个白球输1元,以ξ表示赢得的钱数,结果如何?[解] (1)X可取0,1,2,3.X=0表示取5个球全是红球;X=1表示取1个白球,4个红球;X=2表示取2个白球,3个红球;X=3表示取3个白球,2个红球.(2)X可取3,4,5.X=3表示取出的球编号为1,2,3;X=4表示取出的球编号为1,2,4;1,3,4或2,3,4.X=5表示取出的球编号为1,2,5;1,3,5;1,4,5;2,3,5;2,4,5或3,4,5.(3) ξ=10表示取5个球全是红球;ξ=7表示取1个白球,4个红球;ξ=4表示取2个白球,3个红球;ξ=1表示取3个白球,2个红球.

对于离散型随机变量,可以由它的概率分布列确定与该随机变量相关事件的概率。但在实际问题中,有时我们更感兴趣的是随机变量的某些数字特征。例如,要了解某班同学在一次数学测验中的总体水平,很重要的是看平均分;要了解某班同学数学成绩是否“两极分化”则需要考察这个班数学成绩的方差。我们还常常希望直接通过数字来反映随机变量的某个方面的特征,最常用的有期望与方差.二、 探究新知探究1.甲乙两名射箭运动员射中目标靶的环数的分布列如下表所示:如何比较他们射箭水平的高低呢?环数X 7 8 9 10甲射中的概率 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4乙射中的概率 0.15 0.25 0.4 0.2类似两组数据的比较,首先比较击中的平均环数,如果平均环数相等,再看稳定性.假设甲射箭n次,射中7环、8环、9环和10环的频率分别为:甲n次射箭射中的平均环数当n足够大时,频率稳定于概率,所以x稳定于7×0.1+8×0.2+9×0.3+10×0.4=9.即甲射中平均环数的稳定值(理论平均值)为9,这个平均值的大小可以反映甲运动员的射箭水平.同理,乙射中环数的平均值为7×0.15+8×0.25+9×0.4+10×0.2=8.65.

温故知新 1.离散型随机变量的定义可能取值为有限个或可以一一列举的随机变量,我们称为离散型随机变量.通常用大写英文字母表示随机变量,例如X,Y,Z;用小写英文字母表示随机变量的取值,例如x,y,z.随机变量的特点: 试验之前可以判断其可能出现的所有值,在试验之前不可能确定取何值;可以用数字表示2、随机变量的分类①离散型随机变量:X的取值可一、一列出;②连续型随机变量:X可以取某个区间内的一切值随机变量将随机事件的结果数量化.3、古典概型:①试验中所有可能出现的基本事件只有有限个;②每个基本事件出现的可能性相等。二、探究新知探究1.抛掷一枚骰子,所得的点数X有哪些值?取每个值的概率是多少? 因为X取值范围是{1,2,3,4,5,6}而且"P(X=m)"=1/6,m=1,2,3,4,5,6.因此X分布列如下表所示

The topic of this part is “Discover the reasons for festivals and celebrations.The Listening & Speaking & Talking part aims at talking about the experiences and feelings or emotions about the festivals and celebrations. This section aims at detecting the reason why the people celebrate the festivals, the time, the places, the types and the way of celebrations. It also explains why some traditions in the old celebrations are disappearing, like the firecrackers in the big cities and some new things are appearing like the prosperity of business or commerce. 1. Students can talk about what festivals they know and the reasons and the way of celebrating them.2. Students should learn the reading skills such as the headline and get the topic sentences, the structures of articles.3. Students can understand the past, the present situation of some festival around the world and why there are some changes about them. 4. Students can have the international awareness about the festivals.1. Students should learn the reading skills such as the headline and get the topic sentences, the structures of articles.2. Students can understand the past, the present situation of some festival around the world and why there are some changes about them.Step 1 Lead in---Small talkWhat festival do you like best ? Why ?I like the Spring Festivals because I can set off the fireworks, receive the lucky money and enjoy the Gala with my families.Step 2 Before reading---Pair workWhy do people celebrate different festivals ?The Spring Festivals is to celebrate the end of winter and the coming of spring and new life.The Mid-autumn Day is to celebrate the harvest and admire the moon.

The theme of this section is “Talk about festival activities and festival experiences”.Festival and holiday is a relaxing and interesting topic for students. This part talks about the topic from the daily life of students’. In the part A ---Listening and Speaking, there are three conversations among different speakers from three countries(Japan, Rio and China), where the speakers are participating in or going to participate in the festivals and celebrations. So listening for the relationship among them is a fundamental task. Actually, with the globalization and more international communication, it is normal for Chinese or foreigners to witness different festivals and celebrations in or out of China. In the Conversation 1, a foreign reporter is interviewing a Japanese young girl who just had participated in the ceremony of the Coming-of-Age Day on the street and asking her feeling about the ceremony and the afterwards activities. Conversation 2, Chinese girl Li Mei is witnessing the Rio Carnival for the first time, and her friend Carla gives her some advice on the costumes which enables her to match with the carnival to have a good time. Conversation 3, a Chinese guide is showing a group of foreign visitors around the Lantern Festival and introducing the customs of the festival to them. The three conversations have a strong vitality and insert the festival and cultural elements from different countries. So perceiving the festivals and cultures from different countries is the second task. At the same time, the scripts also insert the targeted grammar --- v-ing as attributive and predicative, which students can perceive and experience in a real context and make a road for the further study. That is the third task. In the Part B--- Listening and Talking, the theme is “Talk about festival experience”, which is the common topic in our daily conversations. During the conversation, Song Lin, a Chinese student, asked Canadian friend Max about how to spend Christmas. In the conversation, Song Lin talked about experience and the feelings during the Chinese Spring Festival, during which there are not only some enjoyable things but some unpleasant things. After the listening, perhaps students find there are some similarities between Christmas and the Chinese Spring Festival as there are some differences in the origins and celebrations. For example, people always visit friends and relatives, decorate their houses, have a big dinner together, chat and give presents to each other.

Step 3 Analyzing article structureActivity 31. Teachers raise questions to guide students to analyze the chapter structure of this diary and think about how to describe the festival experience. (1)What should be included in the opening/body/closing paragraph(s)?(2)How did the writer arrange his/her ideas?(3)What kind of interesting details did the writer describe?(4)How did the writer describe his/her feelings/emotions during the event?2. Students read and compare the three sentence patterns in activity 2. Try to rewrite the first paragraph of the diary with these three sentence patterns. After that, students exchange corrections with their partners. Such as:●This was my first time spending three days experiencing the Naadam Festival in China’s Inner Mongolia Autonomous Region and it was an enjoyable and exciting experience. ●I'll never forget my experience at the Naadam Festival because it was my first time to watch the exciting Mongolian games of horse racing, wrestling, and archery so closely. ●I'll always remember my first experience at the Naadam Festival in China’s Inner Mongolia Autonomous Region because it was so amazing to spend three days witnessing a grand Mongolian ceremony. Step 4 Accumulation of statementsActivity 41. Ask the students to read the diary again. Look for sentences that express feelings and emotions, especially those with the -ing form and the past participle. Such as:● …horse racing, wrestling, and archery, which are all so exciting to watch. ● some amazing performances● I was surprised to see…● I was a little worried about. . . ● feeling really tiredOther emotional statements:●I absolutely enjoyed the archery, too, but the horse races were my favourite part. ●I'm finally back home now, feeling really tired, but celebrating Naadam with my friend was totally worth it. ●He invited me back for the winter to stay in a traditional Mongolian tent and cat hot pot. I can’t wait!2. In addition to the use of the -ing form and the past participle, the teacher should guide the students in the appreciation of these statements, ask them to memorize them, and encourage them to use them reasonably in writing practice.

1. 表示时间。Hearing these stories, I’m skeptical about the place. = When I heard these stories. . . 2. 表示原因。Not knowing his address, I can’t send this book to him. = Because/Since/As I don’t know his address. . . 3. 表示结果。His father died, leaving him a lot of money. =. . . and left him a lot of money4. 表示条件。Going straight down the road, you will find the department store. = If you go straight down the road. . . 5. 表示让步。Being tired, they went on working. =Although they were tired. . . 6. 表示行为方式、伴随情况或补充说明。He lay on the grass, staring at the sky for a long time. =. . . and stared at the sky for a long time注意:非谓语动词作状语时, 如所提供的动词不能和句子中的主语保持一致, 动词-ing形式必须有自己的逻辑主语, 通常由名词或代词来担任, 这就是独立主格结构。The last bus having gone, we had to walk home. (having gone的逻辑主语是the last bus, 而不是we)Weather permitting, the football match will be played on Friday. (permitting的逻辑主语是time, 而不是the football match)Step 7 Practice1. ________(study) hard, you are sure to get first prize. 2. People use plastic in their daily life, _______(leave) large amounts of waste. 3. ________(work) hard at your lessons, you are to succeed. 4. The old man, ____________(work) abroad for twenty years, is on the way back to his motherland. 5. ______________(finish) his homework, he was playing on the playground. Answers: 1. Studying 2. leaving 3. Working 4.having worked 5. Having finishedStep 8 HomeworkFinish the homework on Page 22.

Example:One day, a poor boy who was trying to pay his way through school by sending newspapers door to door found that he only had one dime(一角)left. He was so hungry that he decided to beg for a meal at the next house.However, he lost his nerve when a lovely young woman opened the door. Instead of a meal he asked for a drink of water. She thought he looked hungry so she brought him a large glass of milk. He drank it slowly, and then asked, “How much do I owe you?” “You don’t owe me anything,” she replied, “Mother has taught me never to accept pay for a kindness.” “Then I thank you from the bottom of my heart.” With these words, Howard Kelly left that house.Years later the woman became badly ill and was finally sent to the hospital in a big city. Dr. Howard Kelly, now famous, was called in. When he heard the name of the town she came from, a strange light filled his eyes. Dressed in his doctor’s clothes, Dr. Kelly went into her room and recognized her at once. From that day on, he gave special attention to her, and decided to do his best to save her life.At last the woman was saved. Dr. Kelly asked the business office to pass the final bill to him. He looked at it and then wrote something on the side. The bill was sent to the woman’s room. She was afraid to open it because she was sure that it would take the rest of her life to pay for it off. Finally she looked, and the note on the side of the bill caught her attention. She read these words: “Paid in full with a glass of milk, Dr. Howard Kelly.” Tear of joy flooded her eyes.

1. 这个寓言是一个关于一位国王古寓言。 The fable is an old fable about a king.2.作者用这个故事让读者对于社区的问题负有个人责任的必要印象深刻。The author used the story to impress upon readers with the need to take personal responsibility for problems in the community.3. 这个故事十分成功的实现了它的目的。The story was quite successful in achieving its purpose.Step 7 WritingPlease write a review of the story according the outline above.The fable is an old fable about a king who thought his people are lazy, so he put a large stone in the middle of the road and hides and waited to see if anyone will try to move it.The author used this story to impress upon readers with the need to take personal responsibility for problems in the community. The story was quite successful in achieving its purpose, and I liked it because it had a clear moral.However, while the moral of the story is clear, the actions of the king seemed pointless to me, because none of the characters in the story learnt anything. For this reason, I think there are better stories that can be used to impress upon people with the need for personal responsibility.Step 8 Pair workExchange drafts with a partner. Use this checklist to help your partner revise his/her draft.1. Does the writer give a short description of the story ?2. Does the description include the most important details of the story ?3. Does the writer give his or her opinion about the character or their actions ?4. Is the review well-organised ? 5. Does the writer use the -ing form as the adverbial correctly in the writing ?6. Are there any grammar, spelling, or punctuation errors ?Step 9 HomeworkPut up your revised draft in the classroom or read it to your class.

The newspaper reported more than 100 people had been killed in the thunderstorm.报纸报道说有一百多人在暴风雨中丧生。(2)before、when、by the time、until、after、once等引导的时间状语从句的谓语是一般过去时,以及by、before后面接过去的时间时,主句动作发生在从句的动作或过去的时间之前且表示被动时,要用过去完成时的被动语态。By the time my brother was 10, he had been sent to Italy.我弟弟10岁前就已经被送到意大利了。Tons of rice had been produced by the end of last month. 到上月底已生产了好几吨大米。(3) It was the first/second/last ... time that ...句中that引导的定语从句中,主语与谓语构成被动关系时,要用过去完成时的被动语态。It was the first time that I had seen the night fact to face in one and a half years. 这是我一年半以来第一次亲眼目睹夜晚的景色。(4)在虚拟语气中,条件句表示与过去事实相反,且主语与谓语构成被动关系时,要用过去完成时的被动语态。If I had been instructed by him earlier, I would have finished the task.如果我早一点得到他的指示,我早就完成这项任务了。If I had hurried, I wouldn't have missed the train.如果我快点的话,我就不会误了火车。If you had been at the party, you would have met him. 如果你去了晚会,你就会见到他的。

点拨:旅游地旅游资源的特色不同,可以安排的旅游活动是不一样的,直接影响对旅游者的吸引力。因此,出游前首先就需要收集旅游地旅游资源的类型、主要游览景区、景点的特色等情况。旅游地的时空可达性直接关系到旅游者从出发地到旅游地,然后再返回出发地的费用和时间。一般来说,居住地与旅游地之间的空间距离过大,会使旅行的时间过长、旅行费用过高,经济距离增加,相应地降低了旅游者的出游能力。而居住地与旅游地相距遥远,也意味着两地之间巨大的环境差异,这会增加对游客的吸引力。旅游服务设施和条件,如旅游交通方式及工具、旅游住宿条件、旅游餐饮的种类和标准、导游服务、旅行费用等信息也都在一定程度上影响着游客的选择。图5.3西藏布达拉宫和图5.4云南香格里拉两幅图片显示了西藏布达拉宫、云南香格里拉与众不同的优美景观,吸引了众多的游客前来观光旅游,成为近年来国内旅游的热点。

3.下结论.依据均值和方差做出结论.跟踪训练2. A、B两个投资项目的利润率分别为随机变量X1和X2,根据市场分析, X1和X2的分布列分别为X1 2% 8% 12% X2 5% 10%P 0.2 0.5 0.3 P 0.8 0.2求:(1)在A、B两个项目上各投资100万元, Y1和Y2分别表示投资项目A和B所获得的利润,求方差D(Y1)和D(Y2);(2)根据得到的结论,对于投资者有什么建议? 解:(1)题目可知,投资项目A和B所获得的利润Y1和Y2的分布列为:Y1 2 8 12 Y2 5 10P 0.2 0.5 0.3 P 0.8 0.2所以 ;; 解:(2) 由(1)可知 ,说明投资A项目比投资B项目期望收益要高;同时 ,说明投资A项目比投资B项目的实际收益相对于期望收益的平均波动要更大.因此,对于追求稳定的投资者,投资B项目更合适;而对于更看重利润并且愿意为了高利润承担风险的投资者,投资A项目更合适.

一、 问题导学前面两节所讨论的变量,如人的身高、树的胸径、树的高度、短跑100m世界纪录和创纪录的时间等,都是数值变量,数值变量的取值为实数.其大小和运算都有实际含义.在现实生活中,人们经常需要回答一定范围内的两种现象或性质之间是否存在关联性或相互影响的问题.例如,就读不同学校是否对学生的成绩有影响,不同班级学生用于体育锻炼的时间是否有差别,吸烟是否会增加患肺癌的风险,等等,本节将要学习的独立性检验方法为我们提供了解决这类问题的方案。在讨论上述问题时,为了表述方便,我们经常会使用一种特殊的随机变量,以区别不同的现象或性质,这类随机变量称为分类变量.分类变量的取值可以用实数表示,例如,学生所在的班级可以用1,2,3等表示,男性、女性可以用1,0表示,等等.在很多时候,这些数值只作为编号使用,并没有通常的大小和运算意义,本节我们主要讨论取值于{0,1}的分类变量的关联性问题.

1.对称性与首末两端“等距离”的两个二项式系数相等,即C_n^m=C_n^(n"-" m).2.增减性与最大值 当k(n+1)/2时,C_n^k随k的增加而减小.当n是偶数时,中间的一项C_n^(n/2)取得最大值;当n是奇数时,中间的两项C_n^((n"-" 1)/2) 与C_n^((n+1)/2)相等,且同时取得最大值.探究2.已知(1+x)^n =C_n^0+C_n^1 x+...〖+C〗_n^k x^k+...+C_n^n x^n 3.各二项式系数的和C_n^0+C_n^1+C_n^2+…+C_n^n=2n.令x=1 得(1+1)^n=C_n^0+C_n^1 +...+C_n^n=2^n所以,(a+b)^n 的展开式的各二项式系数之和为2^n1. 在(a+b)8的展开式中,二项式系数最大的项为 ,在(a+b)9的展开式中,二项式系数最大的项为 . 解析:因为(a+b)8的展开式中有9项,所以中间一项的二项式系数最大,该项为C_8^4a4b4=70a4b4.因为(a+b)9的展开式中有10项,所以中间两项的二项式系数最大,这两项分别为C_9^4a5b4=126a5b4,C_9^5a4b5=126a4b5.答案:1.70a4b4 126a5b4与126a4b5 2. A=C_n^0+C_n^2+C_n^4+…与B=C_n^1+C_n^3+C_n^5+…的大小关系是( )A.A>B B.A=B C.A<B D.不确定 解析:∵(1+1)n=C_n^0+C_n^1+C_n^2+…+C_n^n=2n,(1-1)n=C_n^0-C_n^1+C_n^2-…+(-1)nC_n^n=0,∴C_n^0+C_n^2+C_n^4+…=C_n^1+C_n^3+C_n^5+…=2n-1,即A=B.答案:B

1.确定研究对象,明确哪个是解释变量,哪个是响应变量;2.由经验确定非线性经验回归方程的模型;3.通过变换,将非线性经验回归模型转化为线性经验回归模型;4.按照公式计算经验回归方程中的参数,得到经验回归方程;5.消去新元,得到非线性经验回归方程;6.得出结果后分析残差图是否有异常 .跟踪训练1.一只药用昆虫的产卵数y与一定范围内的温度x有关,现收集了6组观测数据列于表中: 经计算得: 线性回归残差的平方和: ∑_(i=1)^6?〖(y_i-(y_i ) ?)〗^2=236,64,e^8.0605≈3167.其中 分别为观测数据中的温度和产卵数,i=1,2,3,4,5,6.(1)若用线性回归模型拟合,求y关于x的回归方程 (精确到0.1);(2)若用非线性回归模型拟合,求得y关于x回归方程为 且相关指数R2=0.9522. ①试与(1)中的线性回归模型相比较,用R2说明哪种模型的拟合效果更好 ?②用拟合效果好的模型预测温度为35℃时该种药用昆虫的产卵数.(结果取整数).

教学质量是学校的生命线,咱们的老师们都有很强的质量意识,特别是这次教育局组织的六年统考、四年抽考。应该说六年和四年级的八位教师不计个人得失,每天起早贪晚的倾情付出让学校领导感动,让每一位教师佩服。更让人感动的是李丽杰、邹玉红老师忍受着嗓子痛不能说话和嗓子哑说不出话的痛苦依然坚持工作。本学期,我们还成功地举办了数学的“同课异构”和语文的“模课”活动。活动中涌现出了像赵淑萍、江式杰等优秀教师。

一是完善顶层设计精心安排部署。市县两级都成立了领导机构、办事机构并推行联席会议制度;印发了《关于深化“放管服”改革,全面优化提升营商环境的实施意见》及“十大行动方案”“三年行动计划”、各专项行动《实施意见》,推动优化提升营商环境有序展开。

一是完善顶层设计精心安排部署。市县两级都成立了领导机构、办事机构并推行联席会议制度;印发了《关于深化“放管服”改革,全面优化提升营商环境的实施意见》及“十大行动方案”“三年行动计划”、各专项行动《实施意见》,推动优化提升营商环境有序展开。

一是完善顶层设计精心安排部署。市县两级都成立了领导机构、办事机构并推行联席会议制度;印发了《关于深化“放管服”改革,全面优化提升营商环境的实施意见》及“十大行动方案”“三年行动计划”、各专项行动《实施意见》,推动优化提升营商环境有序展开。
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