1.确定研究对象,明确哪个是解释变量,哪个是响应变量;2.由经验确定非线性经验回归方程的模型;3.通过变换,将非线性经验回归模型转化为线性经验回归模型;4.按照公式计算经验回归方程中的参数,得到经验回归方程;5.消去新元,得到非线性经验回归方程;6.得出结果后分析残差图是否有异常 .跟踪训练1.一只药用昆虫的产卵数y与一定范围内的温度x有关,现收集了6组观测数据列于表中: 经计算得: 线性回归残差的平方和: ∑_(i=1)^6?〖(y_i-(y_i ) ?)〗^2=236,64,e^8.0605≈3167.其中 分别为观测数据中的温度和产卵数,i=1,2,3,4,5,6.(1)若用线性回归模型拟合,求y关于x的回归方程 (精确到0.1);(2)若用非线性回归模型拟合,求得y关于x回归方程为 且相关指数R2=0.9522. ①试与(1)中的线性回归模型相比较,用R2说明哪种模型的拟合效果更好 ?②用拟合效果好的模型预测温度为35℃时该种药用昆虫的产卵数.(结果取整数).
节日教育:中秋节一、 升旗仪式:教师:good morning children!幼儿:(good morning teacher)。教师:今天是星期一,又到了我们升国旗的时候。大家挺起精神来attention!。幼儿:(1!2!),请小旗手护送国旗到升旗台,全体肃立,升国旗,唱国歌,行注目礼。教师:现在升旗台上又站了许多小旗手,让我来问一问,他们为什么能当小旗手?(请大班、中班、小班、各一个幼儿回答问题。)请小旗手说说:自己的名字、班名,说说自己为什么当上小旗手。最后请全体小旗手说说自己的名字和自己是那个班的小朋友。幼儿:“大家好!我是xx班的小朋友,我的名字叫xxx,因为我 ,所以 。”教师:大家再次表扬他们。二、教育内容1、《八月十五是中秋》音乐引入,幼儿唱歌。教师:小朋友这是什么歌曲呢?你会唱吗?教师:大家都会唱啦,真棒!
2、了解雨与人类的关系。3、激发幼儿观察、发现、探索自然的兴趣。 活动准备1、木偶台、木偶小兔、兔妈妈。2、酒精灯、烧杯、玻璃片、玻璃杯、火柴。3、投影机、故事《小水滴旅行记》、有关幻灯片、磁带。 活动过程一、教师木偶表演,提出尝试问题 教师以兔妈妈带小兔出去玩,忽然天下雨了,小兔问妈妈:“天上为什么会下雨?”的故事情景导放课题,提出问题:“小朋友,你知道天上为什么会下雨吗?” 二、小朋友做小实验(幼儿第一次尝试,分组活动)1、幼儿点燃酒精灯,把水加热。2、教师提出尝试问题:仔细观察一下,你发现了什么?3、小结:水热了就会有水蒸气,许多水蒸气向上跑的现象叫做“蒸发”。4、讨论:你平时看到过“蒸发”现象吗? (发散性思维)
Choose the best choice fromA to F to finish the dialogue. You have one more answer. Each choice should beused only once.A: Hello, I’m a schoolnewspaper reporter. May I ask you some questions?B: ____46____
B: It’s about theexperiments three astronauts are doing on the space station.A: That’s great. I’minterested in space, so I want to be an astronaut like them.
There are many kinds ___21___art forms in China. ___22___ you often see any of them in your life?They help us understand and enjoy the traditional Chinese culture. When theSpring Festival comes, some people often ___23___ the red paper intodifferent art works with scissors.
Tim: _______36_______,Bob.Bob: Good afternoon, Tim. Icalled you just now, but nobody answered. _______37_______?Tim: I went to the cinema.And I watched a movie named The Battle atLake Changjin.Bob: Oh, great. It’s very famous nowadays. _______38_______?
On a snowy day, there was a man walking in ahurry on the road. His clothes were in poor condition. You might think he was abeggar(乞丐),but in fact he was a painter. His name was Vincent Willem van Gogh.
I often use old clothes that people don’t wearany more to make bags. I opened a small shop in my community and set up awebsite to sell the bags online. Many customers think they are fantastic. Now Iplan to write a new book about ways to use old clothes.
Remember that it’s better to fail than it’s togive up, and the key is to learn from your failure(失败). But along withdifficulties, there will also be ____18____ wonderful waiting for you.
Michelle,a famous lady, has found that more than 25% students are too fat in hercountry. It is a very serious problem. So she starts a Health Program to dealwith it. The Health Program is to reduce the number of fat students today andin the future.
I often hear some students say English isdifficult, so they can’t learn it well. ___11___ English is very easy for me. I’m good ___12___ it. I’m very glad to tell you ___13___ about how I study English.
Theoil paper umbrella is a traditional Chinese handicraft(手工艺品).It has a history of over 1,000 years in China.In early TangDynasty, it was introduced to Japan and Korea, so it was called the “TangUmbrella”. Later oil paper umbrellas were spread to other Asian countries, suchas Vietnam, Thailand and Laos, and each had its own style. However, assteel-ribbed(钢骨的)umbrellas appeared in the last century, thehand-made oil paper umbrellas became less used in daily life. They were turnedinto decorative artifacts(装饰性工艺品).
___14___, I think an interest in Englishis very important. When I was in Grade Three, we had a new ___15___ — English,it was new for me. I was interested in it. I worked hard at it. Soon we had anEnglish exam and I got a very good mark. How ___16___ I was! After that,I learned English harder. Our English teacher often teaches us English songs,and ___17___ sound nice. I often think how interesting English is!
Bike-to-Work Day is held every year across North America on thethird Friday of May. It was started by the League of American Bicyclistsin 1956. Its aim is to promote (促进) the bicycle as a serious choice of getting toand from work. In today’s world where global warming is a serious issue, thebicycle is a perfect way of reducing our carbon (碳) footprint.
Bike-to-Work Day is held every year across NorthAmerica on the third Friday of May. It was started by the League ofAmerican Bicyclists in 1956. Its aim is to promote (促进) the bicycle as a seriouschoice of getting to and from work. In today’s world where global warming is aserious issue, the bicycle is a perfect way of reducing our carbon (碳) footprint.
Dealing with a nosebleed(鼻出血)mightseem simple. But recently, the British RED Cross asked parents with youngchildren how to help a child with a nosebleed. About 65 percent of parents didnot ____11____ the correct action to help.
One night many yearsago, an angry voice woke me up from sleep. It was my drunken (喝醉的) father. Those days, he would always ___11___ home very late. Sometimes, he would also go on to fight with my mom.
FIFA World Cup is one of the biggest sportsevents in the world. It ___11___every 4 years. The first World Cup was in 1930. It has a history of over 90years. During the World Cup, ___12___fans watch the games and cheer for their favorite teams or players.
FIFA World Cup is one of the biggest sportsevents in the world. It ___11___ every 4 years. The first World Cup wasin 1930. It has a history of over 90 years. During the World Cup, ___12___fans watch the games and cheer for their favorite teams or players. We haveknown some famous football players from the football competitions, such asBeckham, Messi, and Figo. They have excited football fans for many years.
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